Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.428736 11.910719 13.536172 15.452570 17.651982 20.099347 23.032141
2025-12-21 8.283717 10.189237 12.443681 15.312527 18.873556 23.158250 28.719898
2025-12-28 7.323195 9.495009 12.206838 15.851539 20.637936 26.731548 35.113911
2026-01-04 6.581654 8.910581 11.950365 16.224355 22.105439 29.952500 41.282933
2026-01-11 6.063990 8.524408 11.862242 16.744092 23.742332 33.473518 48.138694
2026-01-18 5.361250 7.788850 11.195543 16.353948 24.020425 35.076965 52.383962
2026-01-25 4.814774 7.207907 10.671504 16.085068 24.401387 36.803976 56.908861
2026-02-01 4.357015 6.705387 10.202350 15.830732 24.746224 38.462813 61.433756
2026-02-08 3.961968 6.256151 9.764171 15.567001 25.026108 40.009751 65.882101
2026-02-15 3.618920 5.853824 9.357263 15.303619 25.262056 41.477042 70.298032
2026-02-22 3.506041 5.807682 9.505462 15.943610 27.018299 45.550849 79.454569
2026-03-01 3.326072 5.633274 9.426091 16.189186 28.118892 48.602169 87.106372
2026-03-08 3.107489 5.378523 9.196682 16.166071 28.766707 50.955939 93.798654
2026-03-15 2.889167 5.105497 8.912653 16.019568 29.176930 52.917007 99.952544
2026-03-22 2.805709 5.062171 9.022719 16.584433 30.921534 57.432212 111.344278
2026-03-29 2.701658 4.972009 9.039740 16.975159 32.368152 61.508266 122.270716
2026-04-05 2.626795 4.928632 9.136438 17.519888 34.149698 66.365790 135.217350
2026-04-12 2.430553 4.640841 8.755373 17.110980 34.025301 67.486648 140.621435
2026-04-19 2.267713 4.404333 8.452849 16.829179 34.125418 69.052249 147.089035
2026-04-26 2.120492 4.186947 8.170370 16.562627 34.229438 70.624949 153.707680
2026-05-03 1.984227 3.981002 7.894710 16.286238 34.285824 72.095029 160.229291
2026-05-10 1.858878 3.787773 7.630017 16.010222 34.316518 73.505655 166.741032
2026-05-17 1.839676 3.811123 7.806416 16.680925 36.449208 79.636064 184.658899